Spain U19 vs Italy U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 1
ARM
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
CZE
2 - 3
ESP
19%
23%
58%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
IRL
0 - 5
ESP
18%
23%
60%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
TUR
3 - 0
ESP
20%
23%
58%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
SRB
0 - 4
ESP
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 2
ITA
40%
24%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
AZE
1 - 2
ITA
17%
20%
63%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 1
SWE
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 2
ROU
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
IRL
3 - 0
ITA
35%
24%
41%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |