Spain U19 vs Netherlands U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2004 |
ESP
0 - 0
LTU
77%
15%
9%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
FRA
0 - 0
ESP
38%
25%
38%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2003 |
ISR
0 - 2
ESP
13%
21%
67%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
POL
2 - 1
ESP
27%
24%
49%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
ESP
1 - 0
GER
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Netherlands U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2004 |
HUN
1 - 0
NED
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
NED
2 - 0
ISR
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
MDA
0 - 0
NED
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
NED
1 - 1
ISL
70%
18%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2003 |
NED
1 - 1
NOR
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |