Spain U18 vs Italy U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1997 |
ESP
2 - 0
BEL
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1997 |
ESP
0 - 0
CZE
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1997 |
CZE
1 - 2
ESP
39%
24%
37%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1996 |
ESP
4 - 1
ALB
81%
14%
5%
|
59 | 29 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1996 |
SVN
0 - 2
ESP
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1997 |
ITA
2 - 0
BEL
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
BEL
0 - 1
ITA
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
YUG
2 - 1
ITA
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1996 |
ITA
1 - 1
YUG
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1996 |
ITA
2 - 0
GRC
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |