Spain U17 vs San Marino U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
18%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.6%
4.4%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
ESP
4 - 0
NIR
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
ESP
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
GER
1 - 2
ESP
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 0
ENG
46%
25%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
ESP
4 - 2
ITA
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
SMR
0 - 4
SVK
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 1
SMR
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
SMR
0 - 5
POR
13%
19%
68%
|
16 | 57 | 41 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
ENG
8 - 0
SMR
85%
11%
4%
|
16 | 62 | 46 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
ALB
5 - 1
SMR
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |