Espaly-Saint-Marcel vs Seyssinet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+103%
+902%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
12º
10º
18
6º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
24 | 50 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 45 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 44 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 44 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 36 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 30 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 22 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
55% | 34% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 17% |
|
Relegation
|
33% | 49% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
USE
0 - 3
ESM
14%
18%
68%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ESM
2 - 2
SAE
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ESM
1 - 0
BBR
72%
17%
12%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 0
ESM
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ESM
2 - 0
CDE
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Seyssinet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SEY
1 - 3
LIM
24%
22%
54%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SAE
1 - 0
SEY
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SEY
2 - 0
MAC
14%
17%
69%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | +6 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 2
SEY
77%
14%
10%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SEY
2 - 0
CHA
13%
18%
70%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | +10 |