Espaly-Saint-Marcel vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.2%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
0.5%
3-2
0.1%
+1
1.7%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.1%
89.8%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.5%
0-3
16.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
20.6%
0-4
12.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
-4
14.6%
0-5
7.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
8.3%
0-6
3.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
4%
0-7
1.5%
1-8
0.2%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ESM
1 - 1
BOU
28%
26%
46%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
ESM
1 - 1
DIJ
4%
9%
87%
|
31 | 69 | 38 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
ESM
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ESM
1 - 1
SEY
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
USE
0 - 3
ESM
14%
18%
68%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PSG
2 - 1
ASS
83%
12%
5%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
PSG
1 - 0
MON
58%
20%
22%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
LEN
1 - 1
PSG
21%
21%
58%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
MON
2 - 4
PSG
30%
23%
47%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PSG
3 - 1
LYO
64%
19%
16%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |