Espaly-Saint-Marcel vs Olympique de Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+118%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
11º
5º
24
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CLE
0 - 1
ESM
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ESM
0 - 0
CHA
24%
23%
54%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
AIN
4 - 0
ESM
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ESM
1 - 2
LYO
13%
19%
67%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 3
ESM
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique de Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 1
FEU
36%
23%
42%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CDE
0 - 0
OVA
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OVA
0 - 2
SAE
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
OVA
0 - 2
SAI
20%
23%
56%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OVA
5 - 0
VAU
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +2 |