Espaly-Saint-Marcel vs Mâcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
47.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+103%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
12º
10º
24
1º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
24 | 50 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 45 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 44 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 44 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 36 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 30 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 22 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
55% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
33% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
HAL
2 - 2
ESM
39%
23%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
ESM
2 - 4
PSG
2%
8%
90%
|
34 | 96 | 62 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ESM
1 - 1
BOU
28%
26%
46%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
ESM
1 - 1
DIJ
4%
9%
87%
|
32 | 70 | 38 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
ESM
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mâcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MAC
4 - 0
CLE
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CDE
2 - 0
MAC
21%
23%
57%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
MAC
4 - 2
OLY
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
THO
0 - 2
MAC
51%
23%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 2
SOC
6%
14%
80%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | 0 |