Espaly-Saint-Marcel vs Limonest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
56.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+118%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
11º
5º
37
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 1
ESM
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FEU
0 - 0
ESM
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ESM
0 - 1
CDE
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ESM
1 - 2
SAI
15%
19%
66%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SAE
1 - 0
ESM
74%
16%
11%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Limonest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LIM
4 - 3
FEU
56%
23%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CDE
4 - 2
LIM
19%
20%
61%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 0
SAE
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CLE
2 - 4
LIM
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SAI
2 - 2
LIM
76%
16%
8%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |