Espaly-Saint-Marcel vs Hauts Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
69.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+428%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
11º
5º
32
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ESM
2 - 2
FEU
14%
19%
68%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CDE
0 - 1
ESM
24%
20%
56%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ESM
0 - 1
SAE
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SAI
2 - 1
ESM
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ESM
1 - 0
VAU
10%
17%
73%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | +3 |
Matches
Hauts Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HAL
0 - 2
CLE
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FEU
0 - 1
HAL
35%
23%
42%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 1
CHA
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 2
HAL
7%
14%
78%
|
31 | 5 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 1
AIN
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |