Espaly-Saint-Marcel vs Chassieu Decines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+103%
+48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
12º
10º
17
7º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
24 | 50 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 45 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 44 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 44 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 36 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 30 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 22 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
55% | 25.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
33% | 60.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 0
ESM
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ESM
2 - 1
THO
25%
25%
51%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +4 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LYO
2 - 1
ESM
72%
18%
11%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ESM
0 - 2
LIM
36%
23%
42%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 2
ESM
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Chassieu Decines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CDE
0 - 1
LYO
17%
21%
63%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CDE
2 - 2
SAE
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 1
CDE
72%
16%
13%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CDE
2 - 1
SEY
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CDE
1 - 0
OLY
18%
19%
63%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +2 |