EsPa vs LoPa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EsPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
AIF
3 - 0
ESP
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 4
PAL
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
FCE
2 - 1
ESP
49%
22%
30%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 2
SAL
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 0
KLU
16%
20%
65%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +5 |
Matches
LoPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
LPA
0 - 5
EKE
10%
17%
73%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FCE
4 - 0
LPA
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
LPA
1 - 5
AIF
10%
17%
74%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
BK4
6 - 0
LPA
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
LPA
0 - 12
PAL
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |