ESOFV La Roche vs Stade Lavallois II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
41.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
12º
7º
20
3º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
23 | 44 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 42 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 41 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 33 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 31 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 27 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 65.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
19.5% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESOFV La Roche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VIT
4 - 0
ESO
65%
18%
18%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ESO
1 - 0
CHA
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
ESO
38%
22%
41%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LRO
4 - 1
ESO
32%
22%
46%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ESO
2 - 0
SNA
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Lavallois II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LAV
1 - 2
LAT
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ANG
3 - 0
LAV
27%
26%
47%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LAV
2 - 1
USS
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 4
LAV
46%
25%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ASC
2 - 4
LAV
33%
23%
44%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |