La Roche-sur-Yon vs Stade Lavallois II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
41.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
12º
11º
3
3º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
7 | 48 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 44 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
4º
|
5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 41 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 38 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 38 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 38 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 37 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 34 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 28 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 26 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 17 |
14º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
45% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 16% |
|
Relegation
|
43% | 19.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Roche-sur-Yon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VIT
4 - 0
ESO
65%
18%
18%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ESO
1 - 0
CHA
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
ESO
38%
22%
41%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LRO
4 - 1
ESO
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ESO
2 - 0
SNA
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Lavallois II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LAV
1 - 2
LAT
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ANG
3 - 0
LAV
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -3 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LAV
2 - 1
USS
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 4
LAV
46%
25%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ASC
2 - 4
LAV
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |