ESMTK vs MTK Budapest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
80.4%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESMTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MSK
1 - 2
ESM
31%
26%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ESM
3 - 0
SCG
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BEK
1 - 2
ESM
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ESM
4 - 0
SZO
71%
19%
11%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ESM
3 - 0
BKV
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MEZ
1 - 0
MTK
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MTK
0 - 5
PUS
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FHV
3 - 0
MTK
54%
23%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MTK
1 - 6
FTC
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UJP
0 - 2
MTK
55%
23%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |