Slovenia U19s vs Italy U19s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
62.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovenia U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
SVN
65%
19%
17%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
SVN
0 - 0
NLD
19%
23%
57%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SVN
4 - 0
MDA
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
NIR
2 - 2
SVN
25%
25%
51%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SVN
1 - 3
ITA
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
DEU
2 - 3
ITA
57%
22%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
POL
0 - 1
ITA
15%
22%
64%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
3 - 2
BIH
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 2
EST
90%
8%
2%
|
65 | 30 | 35 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
ENG
2 - 1
ITA
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |