Slovenia U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovenia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
SWE
1 - 1
SVN
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
SVN
2 - 0
UKR
25%
23%
52%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
MLT
1 - 4
SVN
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
FIN
1 - 0
SVN
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
LTU
0 - 1
SVN
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
MLT
0 - 2
LTU
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
SWE
4 - 0
LTU
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
LTU
0 - 1
SWE
11%
19%
70%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2011 |
LTU
1 - 1
KSA
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
LTU
1 - 2
MLT
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |