Slovenia U21 vs Finland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovenia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
SVN
2 - 1
MLT
77%
16%
8%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
SVN
2 - 2
NOR
32%
23%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
SVN
2 - 0
LTU
67%
19%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
SWE
1 - 1
SVN
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
SVN
2 - 0
UKR
25%
23%
52%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Finland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
FIN
0 - 1
AZE
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
UKR
1 - 1
FIN
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
FIN
0 - 1
SWE
20%
25%
55%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
MLT
1 - 2
FIN
24%
24%
52%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
FIN
1 - 0
SVN
49%
26%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |