Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 3-1
Eskişehirspor vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eskişehirspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
SIV
1 - 3
ESK
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ESK
3 - 1
IST
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
BUR
3 - 2
ESK
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ESK
2 - 0
BUR
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
BUR
3 - 0
ESK
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -3 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
STJ
0 - 4
GLA
24%
26%
51%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
HOM
2 - 0
STJ
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
STJ
69%
20%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MHE
5 - 1
STJ
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
STJ
0 - 2
DUN
32%
26%
43%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |