Eskilsminne vs Ariana FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
13º
4º
21
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 66 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 57 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 49 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 48 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 45 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 44 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 43 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 42 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 40 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 39 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 34 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 31 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 88% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eskilsminne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 0
ESK
33%
26%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ESK
3 - 0
NOR
34%
26%
41%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
OSK
2 - 3
ESK
36%
26%
39%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ESK
2 - 0
ROS
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
AST
0 - 2
ESK
10%
16%
74%
|
52 | 9 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Ariana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 1
LJU
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
TVA
0 - 2
AFC
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
IFL
0 - 4
AFC
12%
17%
71%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
OLY
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 2
AFC
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |