Escuela Municipal vs Independiente Huachog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Escuela Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
AHC
0 - 0
ESC
33%
21%
45%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ESC
2 - 2
INM
49%
24%
27%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
INM
1 - 1
ESC
33%
21%
46%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
ESC
4 - 2
AHC
32%
21%
47%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
IND
3 - 2
ESC
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Huachog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
SAF
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
CFC
0 - 1
IND
45%
22%
33%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
CFC
31%
21%
48%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAF
4 - 1
IND
32%
21%
47%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
IND
3 - 2
ESC
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |