EHAT vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
50.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EHAT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
EHA
1 - 3
GRA
27%
22%
51%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
JFC
2 - 0
EHA
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
EHA
1 - 2
MAL
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
SDC
2 - 1
EHA
79%
13%
9%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
RCD
5 - 3
EHA
80%
12%
8%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
REC
3 - 1
SDC
69%
16%
15%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
GRA
7 - 2
REC
65%
18%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
REC
5 - 3
RCD
63%
18%
19%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
JFC
2 - 1
REC
68%
17%
15%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
CAD
4 - 1
REC
66%
17%
16%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |