Copa Simón Bolívar Etapas Finales Last 16
Global 2-2
Escuela Enrique Happ vs Stormers SC Sucre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.4%
4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Escuela Enrique Happ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SSC
1 - 1
HAP
9%
14%
77%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SSC
1 - 3
HAP
10%
15%
76%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
HAP
2 - 0
MOM
91%
7%
3%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
HAP
1 - 2
SSC
90%
7%
3%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOM
2 - 1
HAP
6%
11%
83%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Stormers SC Sucre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SSC
1 - 1
HAP
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SSC
1 - 3
HAP
10%
15%
76%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MOM
1 - 2
SSC
42%
22%
36%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
HAP
1 - 2
SSC
90%
7%
3%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
SSC
1 - 2
MOM
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |