Esc. de Futbol Concepcion B vs Santos de la Humosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esc. de Futbol Concepcion B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 0
ESC
53%
20%
27%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 1
ESC
30%
24%
46%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ESC
0 - 0
RCA
26%
22%
51%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
ESC
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 2
CDS
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santos de la Humosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SDH
2 - 6
VDB
33%
22%
46%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SDH
2 - 3
CAL
14%
21%
65%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SPB
3 - 1
SDH
63%
18%
19%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SDH
0 - 3
CAB
19%
22%
59%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SDH
2 - 1
DAG
16%
20%
64%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | +1 |