Scotland U19 vs Armenia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
SCO
1 - 3
BEL
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 3
SCO
27%
23%
50%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
SCO
1 - 2
SVN
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
NOR
4 - 2
SCO
42%
24%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
SCO
2 - 1
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Armenia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2012 |
ITA
4 - 1
ARM
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
ARM
1 - 1
BEL
19%
21%
59%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 1
ARM
85%
11%
4%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
AND
0 - 1
ARM
24%
22%
54%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ARM
1 - 2
GRC
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | -1 |