UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Scotland U21 vs Yugoslavia 21s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
3.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1983 |
BRD
1 - 1
SCO
34%
24%
42%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1983 |
SCO
0 - 0
BEL
59%
20%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1983 |
SCO
2 - 1
SUI
61%
19%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1982 |
BEL
1 - 2
SCO
59%
20%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1982 |
SUI
3 - 4
SCO
58%
20%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Yugoslavia 21s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1983 |
YUG
0 - 0
BGR
32%
25%
44%
|
19 | 62 | 43 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1983 |
WAL
1 - 0
YUG
77%
14%
10%
|
19 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1983 |
YUG
6 - 2
NOR
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 51 | 34 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 1982 |
YUG
2 - 0
WAL
37%
24%
39%
|
16 | 50 | 34 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1982 |
BGR
0 - 2
YUG
75%
14%
10%
|
14 | 61 | 47 | +2 |