UEFA EC U21 Semi-finals
Global 0-1
Scotland U21 vs Sweden U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1992 |
SCO
4 - 3
GER
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1992 |
GER
1 - 1
SCO
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1991 |
ROU
1 - 3
SCO
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1991 |
SUI
0 - 3
SCO
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1991 |
SCO
1 - 0
BGR
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1992 |
SWE
1 - 0
NED
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1992 |
NED
2 - 1
SWE
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1991 |
GRC
1 - 3
SWE
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1991 |
ISR
0 - 0
SWE
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1991 |
SWE
2 - 1
ISR
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |