UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Scotland U21 vs England U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.4%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
4.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1980 |
ENG
2 - 1
SCO
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 7 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1980 |
ENG
2 - 1
SCO
25%
26%
49%
|
7 | 58 | 51 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1978 |
ENG
1 - 1
YUG
58%
21%
21%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
YUG
2 - 1
ENG
63%
19%
18%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
ITA
0 - 0
ENG
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 62 | 55 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
ENG
2 - 1
ITA
22%
27%
51%
|
6 | 62 | 56 | +1 |