Scotland U21 vs France U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
56.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
SVN
1 - 0
SCO
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
SVN
3 - 0
SCO
40%
24%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
SCO
2 - 3
BLR
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
NOR
0 - 1
SCO
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
SCO
0 - 3
ITA
22%
26%
53%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
France U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
FRA
0 - 1
BEL
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2006 |
FRA
2 - 3
NED
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
FRA
2 - 0
SYM
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
FRA
3 - 0
GER
52%
24%
25%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2006 |
POR
0 - 1
FRA
32%
25%
44%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |