Scotland U21 vs Slovenia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
LTU
0 - 3
SCO
29%
25%
47%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2008 |
SCO
1 - 4
NOR
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
SCO
2 - 1
FIN
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
SCO
2 - 2
UKR
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2008 |
POR
2 - 1
SCO
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Slovenia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
ENG
2 - 1
SVN
81%
14%
5%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
SVN
0 - 4
RUS
23%
22%
54%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
DEN
1 - 0
SVN
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
SVN
0 - 4
SCO
42%
24%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
SVN
1 - 3
DEN
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |