UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 5-4
Scotland U21 vs Germany U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1992 |
GER
1 - 1
SCO
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1991 |
ROU
1 - 3
SCO
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1991 |
SUI
0 - 3
SCO
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1991 |
SCO
1 - 0
BGR
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1990 |
BGR
2 - 0
SCO
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1992 |
GER
1 - 1
SCO
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1991 |
GER
3 - 0
LUX
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1991 |
BEL
0 - 3
GER
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1991 |
GER
2 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1991 |
ENG
2 - 1
GER
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |