Eschenbach vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
74%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eschenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ESC
1 - 1
HOC
40%
23%
37%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MAL
1 - 1
ESC
25%
22%
53%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
GOL
2 - 2
ESC
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
ESC
3 - 1
GUN
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ESC
2 - 1
SAR
26%
24%
50%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
WIN
0 - 2
WOH
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
SER
0 - 0
WIN
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
WIN
4 - 3
BIE
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
WIN
1 - 0
CHI
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 1
WIN
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |