Eschenbach vs Willisau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eschenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
HER
3 - 3
ESC
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ESC
0 - 4
BUO
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
TAV
1 - 0
ESC
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ESC
1 - 4
RUS
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GCB
0 - 0
ESC
48%
23%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 5
SAR
23%
22%
55%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GUN
4 - 1
WIL
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
HER
4 - 2
WIL
71%
17%
13%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 6
BUO
20%
19%
61%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
TAV
3 - 1
WIL
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |