Eschenbach vs Aegeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eschenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ESC
1 - 2
HER
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SAR
1 - 5
ESC
55%
21%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ESC
2 - 1
RUS
42%
23%
34%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ASC
1 - 2
ESC
55%
22%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ESC
3 - 0
GOL
38%
24%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCA
4 - 2
FCB
46%
23%
31%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
EMM
3 - 0
FCA
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 6
FCS
23%
23%
55%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 1
HER
22%
21%
57%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 1
SAR
22%
21%
56%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |