Eschenbach vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eschenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
EMM
2 - 3
ESC
38%
23%
40%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
ESC
0 - 2
HOC
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
IBA
1 - 1
ESC
38%
23%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
HER
4 - 2
ESC
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ESC
3 - 2
SAR
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ASC
3 - 1
SAR
48%
22%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 2
LOC
12%
18%
70%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ASC
3 - 2
HER
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 0
IBA
52%
22%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
GUN
2 - 1
ASC
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |