Eschen/Mauren vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eschen/Mauren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 2
ESC
43%
23%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
YFJ
5 - 1
ESC
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
FCV
2 - 2
ESC
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ESC
3 - 2
MEN
63%
21%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LUZ
0 - 2
ESC
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
LUZ
8 - 1
LUG
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 3
MEN
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 4
TUG
19%
23%
58%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
GCB
0 - 3
LUG
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 1
LUG
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |