Eschborn vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
4.1%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eschborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
ESC
1 - 0
HES
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
WOR
1 - 3
ESC
16%
24%
60%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
ESC
2 - 0
SVB
86%
10%
4%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
FVB
0 - 3
ESC
19%
23%
58%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
VEL
1 - 1
ESC
14%
22%
64%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 1
EWM
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
ERZ
2 - 1
MAR
78%
15%
8%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 3
FRA
29%
23%
47%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
HES
1 - 1
MAR
81%
14%
6%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 2
FVB
35%
27%
39%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |