Eschborn vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eschborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAY
2 - 0
ESC
43%
23%
33%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
HUN
1 - 1
ESC
23%
22%
54%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
ESC
4 - 3
WAL
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ESC
0 - 0
KIC
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BUC
3 - 3
ESC
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FER
0 - 2
ROT
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
FER
1 - 2
SWM
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
FER
5 - 0
BUC
48%
24%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAU
5 - 1
FER
60%
21%
20%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
EIN
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |