Eschborn vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eschborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
WUR
2 - 4
ESC
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
ESC
0 - 2
FSV
12%
20%
68%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
VEL
4 - 2
ESC
39%
25%
36%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
SWM
2 - 1
ESC
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
ESC
0 - 1
SVB
55%
23%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
FER
3 - 4
LOH
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
GOR
1 - 1
FER
43%
27%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
FER
1 - 0
WOR
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2008 |
BUC
1 - 2
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
FER
5 - 0
EIW
56%
23%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |