Escalona vs Poligono Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
78.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Escalona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MEN
3 - 1
ESC
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 1
POL
26%
21%
53%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CDL
2 - 0
ESC
66%
19%
16%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ESC
1 - 2
PUE
69%
17%
14%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CON
5 - 1
ESC
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Poligono Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
PTO
1 - 1
CAL
69%
18%
14%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 1
PTO
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
PTO
3 - 0
CDE
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PTO
0 - 1
ORG
65%
19%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MEN
1 - 5
PTO
8%
15%
78%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |