Escalona vs Noves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
59.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Escalona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CBA
4 - 1
ESC
36%
22%
42%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ESC
1 - 2
MOC
27%
22%
51%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ORG
4 - 2
ESC
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 0
ESC
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ESC
2 - 1
ARG
73%
16%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Noves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAL
55%
21%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 3
NOV
34%
21%
45%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NOV
4 - 0
CDE
37%
22%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PTO
3 - 0
NOV
64%
18%
18%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 0
MEN
69%
16%
15%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |