Longueau vs Valenciennes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
64.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
12º
14º
14º
47
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longueau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ESL
1 - 1
LON
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LON
2 - 0
AAC
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AMI
2 - 0
LON
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 1
LON
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LIL
4 - 1
LON
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 0
VIM
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FEI
2 - 1
VAL
50%
24%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
VAL
23%
24%
54%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
USM
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
IRI
0 - 2
VAL
42%
25%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |