Longueau vs Valenciennes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
64.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
12º
14º
14º
47
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longueau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ESL
1 - 1
LON
73%
15%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LON
2 - 0
AAC
32%
24%
44%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AMI
2 - 0
LON
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 1
LON
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LIL
4 - 1
LON
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 0
VIM
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FEI
2 - 1
VAL
50%
24%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
VAL
23%
24%
54%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
USM
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
IRI
0 - 2
VAL
42%
25%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |