Longueau vs US Maubeuge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
53.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
12º
14º
14º
37
3º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 20.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longueau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FEI
1 - 0
LON
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LON
0 - 1
IRI
25%
21%
54%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LON
2 - 6
LEN
14%
17%
69%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 0
LON
61%
19%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LON
1 - 2
ESL
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
US Maubeuge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
IRI
0 - 0
USM
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
USM
1 - 0
LEN
21%
22%
58%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ESL
1 - 1
USM
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
USM
3 - 1
AMI
53%
24%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LIL
1 - 3
USM
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |