Esbjerg vs Vendsyssel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
10º
3º
20
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 44 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 38 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
4º
|
47% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
51% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 28 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 28 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 26 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 24 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 22 |
10º
|
42% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 19 |
11º
|
73% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 11 |
12º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
99.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 97% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
4 - 0
ESB
42%
25%
34%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 8
ESB
2%
6%
92%
|
71 | 25 | 46 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ESB
0 - 1
ACH
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
HOB
3 - 6
ESB
27%
26%
48%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ESB
1 - 2
OBK
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vendsyssel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VEN
2 - 1
KOL
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
IFL
0 - 1
VEN
10%
16%
74%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
B93
1 - 2
VEN
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FRE
4 - 2
VEN
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
VEN
3 - 0
ROS
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |