Esbjerg vs Vendsyssel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
10º
2º
13
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 52 |
1º
|
90% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 42 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 37 |
3º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 31 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 31 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 31 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 30 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 27 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 26 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 19 |
11º
|
51% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 10 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
97.5% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 76.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
4 - 0
ESB
42%
25%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 8
ESB
2%
6%
92%
|
70 | 24 | 46 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ESB
0 - 1
ACH
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
HOB
3 - 6
ESB
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ESB
1 - 2
OBK
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vendsyssel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VEN
2 - 1
KOL
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
IFL
0 - 1
VEN
10%
16%
74%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
B93
1 - 2
VEN
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FRE
4 - 2
VEN
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
VEN
3 - 0
ROS
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |