Champions League Last 16
Global 2-3
Esbjerg vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
57.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
SPA
3 - 0
ESB
84%
10%
6%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
ESB
3 - 2
HAL
47%
23%
30%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
HAL
0 - 0
ESB
66%
18%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
ESB
1 - 1
ZBR
41%
23%
35%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
ZBR
6 - 0
ESB
66%
18%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
SPA
3 - 0
ESB
84%
10%
6%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
SPA
4 - 0
JEU
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
JEU
0 - 5
SPA
28%
22%
50%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1975 |
SPA
2 - 0
ACM
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1975 |
ACM
4 - 0
SPA
70%
17%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |