Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 9-1
Esbjerg vs FC Santa Coloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
ESB
1 - 1
FCK
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
VFF
1 - 1
ESB
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
ESB
2 - 0
AGF
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
ESB
0 - 1
AAB
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2003 |
AGF
1 - 1
ESB
46%
23%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
FCE
1 - 2
SCO
50%
23%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
SCO
0 - 0
PRI
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
UEE
0 - 7
SCO
12%
19%
69%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
SCO
4 - 0
LUS
70%
18%
13%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
SCO
1 - 1
SJU
48%
23%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |