Esbjerg vs Roskilde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
3º
5º
2º
60
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
59 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
72 | 16 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 16 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
LFA
2 - 1
ESB
13%
20%
68%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ESB
0 - 1
AAF
56%
22%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
ESB
5 - 2
MID
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AKA
2 - 1
ESB
14%
20%
66%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ESB
2 - 0
SKI
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
ROS
6 - 2
AAF
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MID
2 - 0
ROS
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 1
AKA
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
LFA
0 - 5
ROS
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FA2
0 - 1
ROS
17%
22%
61%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |