UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 7-1
Esbjerg vs NSÍ Runavík analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
ESB
6 - 3
BKF
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
MID
2 - 1
ESB
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ESB
0 - 2
FCK
45%
25%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2004 |
HER
3 - 1
ESB
28%
23%
49%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
AGF
4 - 1
ESB
29%
23%
48%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
NSÍ Runavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
NSI
1 - 0
EBS
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
GOT
1 - 1
NSI
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
NSI
3 - 1
KLA
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
NSI
0 - 0
IFF
68%
18%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
B36
1 - 1
NSI
66%
19%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |