Esbjerg vs Næstved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SYD
1 - 3
ESB
11%
17%
72%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
RAN
2 - 2
ESB
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
ESB
2 - 1
ACH
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
SON
2 - 1
ESB
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ESB
0 - 0
AAB
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
LFA
0 - 1
NAE
31%
25%
45%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
NAE
4 - 0
FYN
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 1
NAE
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
AGF
2 - 1
NAE
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
NAE
0 - 2
SKI
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |