Europa League 1/16
Global 6-1
Esbjerg vs KuPS Kuopio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
KUO
0 - 2
ESB
55%
21%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
ESB
1 - 0
IKS
42%
24%
35%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
IKS
0 - 0
ESB
73%
15%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
ESB
0 - 1
BOH
51%
21%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
BOH
2 - 1
ESB
57%
20%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
KuPS Kuopio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
KUO
0 - 2
ESB
55%
21%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
B19
4 - 4
KUO
48%
21%
30%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
KUO
2 - 1
B19
68%
17%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
BRU
5 - 2
KUO
87%
9%
4%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
KUO
0 - 4
BRU
25%
23%
52%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |