Europa League 1/32
Global 1-0
Esbjerg vs IK Start analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
IKS
0 - 0
ESB
73%
15%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
ESB
0 - 1
BOH
51%
21%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
BOH
2 - 1
ESB
57%
20%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1966 |
DUK
4 - 0
ESB
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
ESB
0 - 2
DUK
42%
24%
34%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
IK Start
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
IKS
1 - 0
LYN
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
IKS
1 - 1
VKG
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
IKS
0 - 0
ESB
73%
15%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
SKE
0 - 1
IKS
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
IKS
2 - 0
MOS
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |